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Red119
642140.8
940148.8
694733.1
Blue168
171448.8
593447.3
631832.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129132100120140160180119168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points32
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +48
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points60
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#7
6Processor points18
4Net points28
10Algae points46
58Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
119Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.1
48.948.8
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
blue by 0.1
1714
#10
48.80.8
47.648.4
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Second
6421
#24
40.80.1
40.940.8
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
blue by 6.5
47.30.8
46.146.9
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Third
6947
#21
33.10.1
33.233.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
red by 0.4
6318
#23
32.70.8
31.532.3
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2