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Red198
463566.7
122030.4
253070.8
Blue147
171448.8
593447.3
631832.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17712750100150200250198147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
3Leave0
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points29
51Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +27
22Coral scored#21
79Coral points76
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
121Total teleop94
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#10
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
198Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.8
69.270.0
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
red by 22.0
1714
#10
48.80.4
48.448.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Second
66.70.8
65.165.8
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
red by 19.3
47.30.4
46.947.3
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Third
1220
#25
30.40.8
28.829.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
blue by 2.3
6318
#23
32.70.4
32.332.7
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2