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Red89
1000239.0
558456.2
472915.9
Blue63
453726.6
918923.6
999314.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1114601001502008963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
89Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.9
60.859.9
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 29.6
26.60.4
25.525.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Second
39.00.9
25.124.1
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
red by 15.4
9189
#11
23.60.4
16.617.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
Third
4729
#15
15.90.9
17.016.1
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
red by 1.2
9993
#23
14.70.7
14.615.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned