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Red56
999214.3
649730.6
999815.8
Blue82
999524.7
997630.1
999114.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60633040507080901005682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
15Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
35Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points4
56Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.5
25.124.6
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 0.5
30.12.8
17.019.8
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Second
9998
#24
15.80.9
19.018.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
blue by 8.9
24.72.8
12.915.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Third
9992
#19
14.30.9
12.311.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
blue by 0.5
9991
#18
14.92.8
14.016.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned