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Red82
712825.2
564817.6
651053.5
Blue28
999619.7
1055210.8
91468.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105300501502008228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
42Total teleop13
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
8Foul points0
82Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.51.2
54.853.6
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 33.8
19.71.0
8.17.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Second
7128
#17
25.21.2
20.819.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
red by 14.4
10.80.6
13.813.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Third
5648
#20
17.61.2
15.814.6
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 9.0
9146
#22
8.60.6
15.314.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed