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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1472505010020014741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+86Teleop
+108Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
17Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +72
21Coral scored#6
76Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
104Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#2
9L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points2
147Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.7
57.658.3
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 26.9
9992
#17
36.11.6
25.023.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Second
59.30.7
46.647.3
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
red by 44.7
6433
#20
14.61.2
5.34.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
5515
#15
30.00.7
20.621.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
red by 17.8
7002
#26
12.11.2
11.910.7
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed