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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8550020406010012014013286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points3
21Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
89Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
132Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.32.6
49.752.3
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
red by 16.0
8810
#12
43.42.1
25.027.2
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Second
54.64.3
25.029.4
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 33.3
8015
#21
21.31.9
14.616.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Third
6433
#20
14.62.6
3.96.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 4.8
6494
#24
19.41.9
9.511.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed