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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13116450100150200118147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
82Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
118Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.5
60.159.7
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
blue by 2.2
64.70.0
60.260.2
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
Second
6940
#16
47.40.5
56.255.7
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
blue by 8.2
55.50.0
53.453.4
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
Third
7002
#26
12.10.5
8.58.0
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 29.1
8011
#13
41.20.0
33.333.3
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed