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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11478050100150200139112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+65Teleop
+41Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +55
25Coral scored#13
90Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
114Total teleop59
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points14
139Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6766
#10
45.72.3
36.238.6
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
blue by 13.5
59.11.1
60.761.7
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
42.82.3
41.944.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
red by 26.7
7047
#22
16.11.1
9.210.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
Third
9992
#17
36.13.9
26.029.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
red by 22.2
9991
#11
13.91.8
12.314.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned