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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621440100200250118159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+39
Endgame+39
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points29
23Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +24
17Coral scored#17
61Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
79Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points4
118Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8810
#12
43.43.3
27.230.5
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
blue by 16.0
59.32.3
52.354.6
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
5515
#15
30.03.3
25.228.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
blue by 26.2
56.12.3
51.253.5
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
Third
5849
#18
17.33.3
13.516.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 4.0
8015
#21
21.32.3
16.518.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned