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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865001001509066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
75Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
90Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#15
30.01.3
26.728.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
red by 7.6
9994
#23
22.31.7
12.013.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Second
9635
#19
29.71.3
28.830.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
red by 10.3
6494
#24
19.41.2
17.318.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
Third
7047
#22
16.11.3
14.816.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 1.2
5849
#18
17.31.2
16.117.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned