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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810405015020075131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points10
17Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +52
9Coral scored#17
32Coral points62
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
42Total teleop94
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
75Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8810
#12
43.40.4
36.236.6
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
blue by 11.3
54.62.1
46.949.1
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
Second
13.00.4
12.613.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 29.8
42.81.6
41.443.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
Third
7002
#26
12.10.4
12.713.1
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 1.8
9991
#11
13.92.1
12.514.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned